Why Has It Gotten So Hard to Be a Long-Term Investor?

Investing used to be simple. All you needed to do was buy good companies, add to them over time, ignore the noise, and allow the laws of compounding to do the rest. Now, although none of those principles has stopped working, following them has gotten a lot harder. 

Prediction markets, sports betting, and crypto have all exploded in popularity over just a few short years, and the ability to access such speculative bets has been lumped in with traditional financial instruments like stocks. When this sort of risk-taking behavior is normalized and seen as a sustainable long-term strategy, it inevitably begins to spill over into traditional financial markets.

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Malcolm Ethridge
Why Investors Can’t Stop Buying Stocks After Everyone Else Already Has

The savviest investors know that they are not supposed to buy a stock simply because it has gone up a lot and that last year’s winner will not necessarily be this year’s. By the time a particular investment has become the subject of podcast conversations and social-media posts, all the easy money has likely already been made.

That said, every market cycle produces the same behavior. A stock begins rising enough to attract some attention. Analysts trip over themselves to be the first to increase their price targets. Media coverage of the company and its CEO expands. Finfluencers, who happened to have bought the stock early begin posting extraordinary gains online. And eventually, people who had no interest in the company just six months earlier suddenly become convinced that they are missing out on the next big thing.

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Malcolm Ethridge
Retail Investor Portfolios Are Beginning to Look More Like Parlays than Strategies

Spend enough time in online investing circles, and you will encounter portfolios that read less like well-researched investment themes and more like multi-game parlays. Individual investors are layering 2x levered single-stock ETFs tied to Korean memory chip manufacturers on top of 3x levered semiconductor index funds that are all housed within the same brokerage account, often purchased on margin. 

And to be fair, for a time, it works. Momentum has a way of validating behavior that would otherwise seem reckless. But what seasoned investors know is that these types of flashy trades have a way of working, right up until the moment they don’t. The same leverage and concentration that amplify gains on the way up tend to accelerate losses just as quickly when sentiment shifts. And by the time that shift becomes obvious, it’s usually too late for the investors who jumped in last.

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Malcolm Ethridge
What to Do When You Realize You’ve Saved Too Much for Retirement

An increasing number of retirees are confronting an unexpected reality. What was not obvious during their working years—even if they were high earners throughout much of their career—often becomes clear in their 70s or 80s: that they may have saved far more for retirement than they are likely to spend over the remainder of their lives.  

For decades, the dominant narrative in personal finance has been one of scarcity. Investors have been inundated with messaging designed to evoke anxiety and uncertainty, prompting questions such as, “Will I have enough?”, “Will my portfolio last?”, and “Should I be saving more?” Today, however, a growing number of retirees are confronting a very different question: “How much is too much?” 

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Malcolm Ethridge
How to Protect a Concentrated Stock Position Without Selling It

There’s a moment that tends to catch even the most financially sophisticated executives off guard. It doesn’t usually happen when the first equity grant vests, nor when the stock doubles or triples. It happens years later when you finally realize that what once felt like a modest equity award has quietly grown into a multi-million-dollar position. 

At that point, the question is no longer how much higher the stock might climb, but how much of your financial future should remain exposed to the fortunes of a single company. That question becomes especially important when the market is in a frenzy, valuations are elevated, and market leadership is narrow, as is the case today. While selling shares outright may be restricted, tax-inefficient, or emotionally difficult, options can provide another path.

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Malcolm Ethridge
Here's the First Thing You Should Do Following an IPO

The days following a major Initial Public Offering (IPO) are often characterized as first-day pops, valuation milestones, and trading volume. But for the employees and early stakeholders, the experience is far more personal. 

When SpaceX officially went public, it did not just mark the largest and most anticipated IPO of all time. It also helped make an estimated 4,000 current and former employees bona fide millionaires. But what tends to get far less attention is the set of difficult decisions that follow. 

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Malcolm Ethridge
Many High Earners Use the Short-Term Rental Loophole Wrong

For high-income earners who routinely receive large bonuses, have significant RSU vesting events, or experience a once in a lifetime liquidity event such as an IPO, few tax strategies generate more attention and confusion online than the so-called "short-term rental loophole.” This loophole allows bona fide real estate investors to use losses generated by a short-term rental property to offset ordinary income. 

The strategy can sound almost too good to be true. In some cases, it is; but in other cases, the short-term rental loophole can be a powerful planning opportunity. The key is understanding what it actually does, who it is designed for, and why the greatest benefit may not be reducing taxes presently but rather creating an opportunity to reposition wealth more tax-efficiently for decades to come.

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Malcolm Ethridge
Tech Layoffs May Have More to Do with the Cost of RSUs Than AI

The world’s largest technology companies—Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, along with Meta Platforms—are widely perceived to be spending at unprecedented levels to secure their positions in what many believe will be the defining technological shift of the next decade. Nevertheless, there is a narrative forming around the artificial intelligence (AI) arms race that seems incomplete. 

The assumption—reinforced almost daily by headlines and prepared statements on quarterly earnings calls—is that nearly all this capital is being funneled into the infrastructure needed to power increasingly complex AI workloads. But buried within the financial statements is the sobering reality that a meaningful portion of the capital currently being raised isn’t going toward AI infrastructure at all. Instead, it’s going to the IRS.

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Malcolm Ethridge
The Anatomy of a Stock Market Bubble

A stock market bubble is best defined as an episode of rapid price appreciation, followed by an equally dramatic decline. While these moments are often framed as anomalies, they are actually recurring features of the system. And while each cycle is assigned its own narrative, the underlying mechanics tend to look strikingly similar. 

Boom. Bust. Repeat. This is the rhythm of financial markets, tending to become most visible only in hindsight. Understanding that rhythm won’t allow you to predict the exact peak or trough. But it does offer context for recognizing where you might be in the cycle, which is arguably more valuable. 

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Malcolm Ethridge
The MalcolmOnMoney Guide to Microsoft’s Early Retirement Offer

Early retirement offers usually include some combination of severance, healthcare continuation, retirement plan decisions, and special treatment for certain forms of compensation. The exact terms vary by company, but most offers are built around a simple tradeoff, whereby the company offers some financial support to leave voluntarily. In exchange, you agree to end your employment on a defined timeline.

In a typical early retirement package, the severance component might be based on years of service, weeks of pay, or job level. Some companies also offer extended healthcare coverage, accelerated 401(k) vesting, pension enhancements, outplacement support, or more favorable treatment of unvested stock.

Microsoft’s offer appears more generous than many standard early retirement packages in a few important ways. But the detail likely to matter most for many long-tenured Microsoft employees is the treatment of company stock.

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Malcolm Ethridge
The Number of Millionaires Has Reached an All-Time High in the U.S. Do You Stand to Leave More of It to Your Kids or the Government?

By most recent estimates, the U.S. is home to more than 22 million millionaires, which reflects the highest figure ever recorded. This growth has primarily been fueled by a decade-long rise in both equity markets and home values. Yet beneath that headline sits the sobering reality that a meaningful share of that wealth may never reach the next generation, the way it’s intended.  

For many high earners who have saved diligently over the course of their career, the difference between a well-structured estate plan and a neglected one can translate into hundreds of thousands—or even millions—of dollars unintentionally being gifted to the government. That means the biggest threat to the largest expected wealth transfer in history isn’t that markets reverse or that spending runs rampant, but an absence of planning. 

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Malcolm Ethridge
Don’t Sleep on Dividends. They’re Not Just for Boomers.

For younger investors coming into a stock market that is defined by the outsized gains of high-growth technology companies resulting from the IPOs of venture-backed decacorns, dividend-paying stocks are often viewed as a thing of the past. These stocks are mistakenly considered appropriate only for retirees seeking income—not for those still in the accumulation phase of their careers. 

While understandable, this perception is incomplete. It reflects a short-term view of investing that completely misses what dividends signal about the underlying businesses that pay them. But when viewed through a more comprehensive lens, dividends are not only a source of income; they are also a byproduct of fiscal discipline and long-term financial strength. 

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Malcolm Ethridge
Microsoft is Offering Some Employees Early Retirement. Should You Take It?

For the first time in its 51-year history, Microsoft just announced that it will be offering voluntary retirement to thousands of its employees in the U.S. An estimated 7% of its U.S. workforce will be eligible for the buyouts, which includes personnel whose years of service plus their age totals 70 or more.  

While the move by Microsoft may feel uncharacteristic for a firm that has a history of celebrating its long-tenured workforce, it also reflects a practical response to the current market dynamics. Big tech companies like Microsoft have been looking for ways to trim their expenses as they pour hundreds of billions of dollars into building out their AI infrastructure for the future and reallocate resources toward the next phase of growth.

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Malcolm Ethridge
Running Out of Time to File Your Taxes? Here’s Why an Extension May Be the Smarter Move

There is a particular kind of pressure that sets in during the final days before the tax filing deadline, and it’s equal parts urgency and avoidance. For many taxpayers, the realization that they’re up against a hard deadline, paired with the hope that it can still be wrapped up quickly is a source of anxiety.

For many taxpayers, especially those with increasingly complex financial lives, this is the moment when the temptation to “just get it done” using a do-it-yourself software solution sets in. But in reality, rushing through your tax filing might be the most expensive financial decision you can make.

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Malcolm Ethridge
Tech Workers: Activist Investors May Be Coming for Your Equity Compensation

In 2021—the early days of the current bull market—many software companies’ trading multiples seemed untethered from reality. At the time, however, very few shareholders complained that 15%, 20%, or even 25% of annual revenues were being paid out to company employees in stock-based compensation.

Equity grants were framed as a necessary cost of attracting top engineering talent, and buybacks designed to offset dilution were described as a sensible allocation of capital. But as the air has come out of many high-growth software names, and concerns mount that generative AI could commoditize swaths of traditional enterprise software, patience is wearing thin among the investor class.

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Malcolm Ethridge
Giving Them A Portion of Their Inheritance Now Could Be More Impactful than All of It Later

There is a quiet shift happening among affluent retirees. After decades of saving, investing, and watching their portfolios compound, many are arriving at the realization that they are unlikely to live long enough to spend everything they have accumulated. 

For some, that realization brings peace of mind. For others, it introduces a new and more nuanced question about the purpose of continuing to hold assets that will almost certainly outlive them. 

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Malcolm Ethridge
The 24% Tax Bracket Is the Sweet Spot Most High Earners Fail to Maximize

Most taxpayers spend an extraordinary amount of energy trying to shrink their tax bill each year—often without considering how today’s decisions shape tomorrow’s outcomes. The trouble is that too many households reduce the entire tax conversation to “higher is bad, lower is good,” without recognizing that certain life events and income levels create rare opportunities to plan ahead.

But sophisticated tax planning isn’t about reflexively minimizing this year’s bill. It’s about managing your exposure across decades. And for married couples filing jointly in particular, the 24% bracket often represents an amazing opportunity.

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Malcolm Ethridge
What Senior Leaders Should Know Before Making a Big Career Pivot

For many senior managers and executives, the idea of stepping off the traditional career ladder to pursue one’s own idea of professional success can be fraught with emotion and uncertainty. The feeling typically presents as a persistent, low hum beneath the surface, after one too many board meetings, another late-night flight, or a growing realization that time has become more valuable than the next title or slight pay increase.  

And whether the goal is to launch a new business from scratch, transition into consulting, scale back to part-time, or retire early, a meaningful career pivot within the next five years demands far more than the decision to do it. It requires a series of conversations with yourself, your spouse or partner, and your team of financial advisors to ensure that your exit is strategic rather than hasty.

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Malcolm Ethridge
There Are Now More ETFs Than Stocks. Here’s How to Pick a Good One.

It would be an understatement to say that exchange traded funds (ETFs) have transformed the way that everyday investors access financial markets. What was once seen as a way for professional money managers to create thematic bets and add sector tilts to otherwise vanilla portfolios can now be executed with small dollar amounts in any brokerage account and a single ticker symbol.

For investors who do not have the time, training, or inclination to track and trade individual stocks, ETFs offer efficiency among other things. Rather than researching 25 semiconductor companies, you can, for instance, gain exposure to the industry through one fund. But while ETFs make investing easier, conducting due diligence is critical. In fact, their simplicity and convenience can sometimes lull investors into doing far less research than they otherwise would.

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Malcolm Ethridge
The Backdoor Roth Tax Trap No One Warned You About

Since the passage of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in 2017, the mega “backdoor Roth IRA” conversion strategy has quietly gone from a niche financial-planning technique to mainstream conversation among high-income professionals. Online Search interest in the term has surged, particularly among executives in tech, medicine, and law, as this is the group most likely to be phased out of traditional and Roth IRA contributions based on income.

On paper, the strategy appears straightforward. Retirement savers may contribute tens of thousands of dollars beyond the standard 401(k) deferral limits and can ultimately convert those funds into the Roth account within the plan where funds can grow and compound tax-free. But as is often the case in tax planning, there are various traps lurking beneath the surface that high earners are discovering whenever they execute this strategy incorrectly. 

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Malcolm Ethridge